College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5dec13392f27f5792b5f1117a3e27ae38f8b64a4466762d708fe1163ab7c66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Kansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kansas State | 52c | 60,535$31,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,630.5 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 37,409$17,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,452.84 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 26,161$12,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,127 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas State | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 23,793$11,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,372.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kansas State | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State | 52c | 7,370$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.32 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 2,531$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.47 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kansas State | 42c | 889.07$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 772$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 561.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Kansas State | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Kansas State | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 311.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 311.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Kansas State | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas State | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kansas State | 51c | 167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…caf3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 146.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Kansas State | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Kansas State | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Kansas State | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Kansas State | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…b16abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 37.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Kansas State | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas StateTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State: 1H MoneylineTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.