Earnings · resolved market
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47143c6bb8d17b64c7fb3c79222b338d8beb9bf0143d7ac3e99ce57e0c337a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0a9…ca7fbacked No | 48c | 14,800$7,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 52c | 14,700$7,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +261.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 53c | 500.42$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 50c | 299.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked No | 44c | 229.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…ad37backed No | 46c | 224.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…84fabacked Yes | 52c | 224.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed No | 41c | 193.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 54c | 186.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 41c | 153.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 57c | 152.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 46c | 138.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…e63dbacked No | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked No | 55c | 132.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 122.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 28c | 109.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 100.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…bd2bbacked Yes | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 57c | 93.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…78e8backed Yes | 57c | 86.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 52c | 76.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…57d8backed Yes | 57c | 61.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…38f6backed No | 46c | 54.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 44c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2443…354cbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…53efbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 44.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…facfbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed No | 39c | 43.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…8908backed Yes | 60c | 42.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 56c | 38.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…88c1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554c…7156backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked Yes | 53c | 32.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…04ccbacked No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acd…664abacked Yes | 64c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…b25abacked Yes | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.