TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No39c25,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,25010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes61c24,914$15,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,197.311838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c24,339$14,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,932.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c21,072$7,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,496.3817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No35c4,840$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,14620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No36c3,600$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.9911832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes65c3,341$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.646155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes65c2,290$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8424939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,469$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.781,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No38c1,352$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.3916154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4039…e1d0backed Yes55c1,350$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No34c1,167$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77024238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes65c1,110$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.3924657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2912134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No36c702$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.692748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes68c666.35$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.181533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No36c644$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24812649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No38c399.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c351.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes61c265.38$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d4…9266backed No39c265.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x919a…c017backed No53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa333…292bbacked Yes68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1321…2286backed No37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+107.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes61c248.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed Yes62c245.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes62c245.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes62c245.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes63c241.27$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes63c241.27$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes63c241.27$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No46c240.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Yes59c235.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1191566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes49c221.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003727%10 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No39c203.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.179643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes62c200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No38c186.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.846162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7892…ae83backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…8f66backed Yes62c160.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes62c159$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.999440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d2b…f380backed Yes68c147$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No46c144.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No37c124.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8410260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes57c112.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.252035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa78…d2d8backed Yes56c109.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No40c108.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes54c107.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes61c105.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.486851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No39c82.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-63.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No39c76.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.822568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes69c72.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84060%24 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes69c72.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.829353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1411546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked No36c41.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.74955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No36c41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No36c41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.072740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253729.7%11 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes50c37.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x535f…fd01backed Yes63c36.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c7b…499bbacked Yes62c34.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-71%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeb03…2276backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Yes42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.311666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No36c29.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95db…dc65backed Yes63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b7…0fa7backed Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1847…ceebbacked Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2008…19dabacked No55c20.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.