TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Ravens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ravensof Jets, Ravens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$969,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$846,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Jets11c136,887$15,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,057.5324957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jets10c99,999$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.955431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jets10c84,280$8,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,42822450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ba…eba1backed Jets11c68,559$7,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,631.32450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets9c57,882$5,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,355.6930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets15c42,120$6,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,192.730043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jets10c40,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Jets11c34,091$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jets10c31,372$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.1614342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets10c20,260$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.1820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Jets10c18,397$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8303423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b1…f848backed Jets5c12,399$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.570%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jets11c11,590$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9316955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets9c11,114$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.3568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Jets11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10016832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets13c8,815$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.6747738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Jets10c8,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jets0c6,240$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Jets10c6,224$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Jets11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6607626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jets10c5,218$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6919235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Ravens73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Ravens79c4,994$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.9711643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets25c4,116$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.0523850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b64…ff96backed Jets11c3,600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6349…10e3backed Jets11c3,427$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets11c3,340$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Jets10c3,333$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.254422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Jets10c3,300$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4451…79f7backed Jets11c3,109$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets10c2,913$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2531854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets21c2,338$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9316344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Jets11c2,233$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6513450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Jets12c2,217$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.852937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Ravens78c1,931$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7714252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets11c1,900$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20913641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Jets11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19814443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jets10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jets11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16539242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Jets10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Ravens72c1,372$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.168532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets10c1,219$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1283447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jets11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13227633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51f8…e23ebacked Jets11c1,175$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,166$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.214311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ab…343cbacked Jets11c1,118$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Jets3c1,008$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.415648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724d…da1fbacked Jets11c1,002$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Jets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Jets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108432.1%27 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…9e1fbacked Ravens74c960.93$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Jets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Jets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets2c776.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Jets10c744.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.952020%4 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jets11c716.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8048847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd74c…deb7backed Jets11c680$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Jets11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd481…cdcbbacked Jets19c599.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Jets11c567.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.383046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jets11c563.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7b…edecbacked Jets27c530$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.11338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed Jets26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1254…15f1backed Jets11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ed…a97dbacked Jets11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a38…82f5backed Jets11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Jets20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Jets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004540%18 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jets11c460$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Jets11c454.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.021520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Jets11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…d2fbbacked Jets11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Jets30c436.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ae…dcfdbacked Jets7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Ravens74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4111027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc08…2f6bbacked Jets11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412435.5%44 W · 80 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jets26c391.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4726649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Jets11c385.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.378527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac6…9e2fbacked Jets11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8952…df27backed Jets11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…dd2fbacked Ravens70c300$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.822240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…06e1backed Jets11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-59%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc557…e530backed Jets11c270.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.733354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Ravens76c270$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.517359%102 W · 71 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Ravens79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162060%12 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Jets11c230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Jets11c227.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258653.5%46 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Jets17c211.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368828.4%25 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ace…9850backed Jets20c206.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.192045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jets7c205.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3432043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Jets12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7393…9818backed Jets11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Jets11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225726.3%15 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Jets10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…8ec9backed Jets11c195.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Jets11c182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0230442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…baa4backed Jets11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked Jets11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.