College Football · resolved market
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a47ba4eb70d4028bae03cf21c27931114c567df3be233cf3f4e4417ef98be46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansasof Oklahoma State, Kansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 27,931$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.84 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Oklahoma State | 11c | 12,848$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.2 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oklahoma State | 12c | 5,790$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Oklahoma State | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Oklahoma State | 8c | 2,611$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Oklahoma State | 6c | 2,027$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma State | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Oklahoma State | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 1,800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Oklahoma State | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oklahoma State | 5c | 1,174$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Oklahoma State | 7c | 650$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 506$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…79abbacked Oklahoma State | 12c | 471.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Oklahoma State | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Oklahoma State | 6c | 367.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Oklahoma State | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Oklahoma State | 8c | 263.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 251$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma State | 9c | 225$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oklahoma State | 7c | 209$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Oklahoma State | 11c | 203.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…5761backed Oklahoma State | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Oklahoma State | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma State vs. Kansasthis page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Oklahoma State vs. Kansas: O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas (-24.5)Oklahoma State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.