College Football · resolved market
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bcb742f288b21ccf2c82da6765fdf99bd505b2d00455a29dec5b9bc5387ce2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Stateof Kansas State, Oklahoma State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Oklahoma State | 8c | 21,011$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.91 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State | 80c | 18,306$14,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.54 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Oklahoma State | 23c | 6,712$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 5,709$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.08 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oklahoma State | 19c | 4,363$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.16 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 3,630$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.16 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oklahoma State | 9c | 3,436$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Oklahoma State | 9c | 2,889$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Oklahoma State | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Oklahoma State | 12c | 2,236$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State | 80c | 2,128$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 1,800$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Oklahoma State | 10c | 1,200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oklahoma State | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oklahoma State | 9c | 838.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oklahoma State | 8c | 762.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oklahoma State | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma State | 11c | 409$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 374.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma State | 20c | 368.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Oklahoma State | 13c | 341.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Oklahoma State | 23c | 231.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Oklahoma State | 9c | 221.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oklahoma State | 13c | 213.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kansas State | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Kansas State | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Oklahoma State | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Oklahoma State | 10c | 149.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Oklahoma State | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas State | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas State | 77c | 123.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Oklahoma State | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Oklahoma State | 12c | 119.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kansas State | 77c | 93.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fe…c944backed Oklahoma State | 26c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Oklahoma State | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Kansas State | 75c | 33.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Kansas State | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Kansas State | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas State vs. Oklahoma Statethis page
- Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 50.5Under won
- Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 51.5Under won
- Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas State (-19.5)Oklahoma State won
- Spread: Kansas State (-20.5)Oklahoma State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.