Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5bd7ef82f8b58990323d24830583f4ff2cb84483e3d7725e8a12cf4461178b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Scorchersof Sydney Thunder, Perth Scorchers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Perth Scorchers | 42c | 4,474$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.44 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 3,333$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.8 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sydney Thunder | 29c | 2,717$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.84 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.08 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Sydney Thunder | 42c | 1,665$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.95 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Perth Scorchers | 64c | 1,601$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.57 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 1,304$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Perth Scorchers | 71c | 1,122$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.62 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…53e2backed Sydney Thunder | 39c | 1,062$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Sydney Thunder | 36c | 948.36$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Sydney Thunder | 22c | 910$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Sydney Thunder | 44c | 822.51$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.18 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Sydney Thunder | 26c | 753.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Sydney Thunder | 50c | 596$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 497.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Sydney Thunder | 43c | 488.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sydney Thunder | 31c | 465.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sydney Thunder | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Sydney Thunder | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Sydney Thunder | 58c | 400$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Sydney Thunder | 22c | 387.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 379.22$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Sydney Thunder | 15c | 369.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Perth Scorchers | 66c | 351.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sydney Thunder | 18c | 324.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…2861backed Perth Scorchers | 76c | 324.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8038backed Sydney Thunder | 32c | 310.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 303.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Sydney Thunder | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Sydney Thunder | 45c | 271$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Sydney Thunder | 48c | 255$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…1a5ebacked Sydney Thunder | 5c | 255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Perth Scorchers | 59c | 219.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Sydney Thunder | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…eb4cbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 205.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Sydney Thunder | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…6951backed Sydney Thunder | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sydney Thunder | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sydney Thunder | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Sydney Thunder | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Sydney Thunder | 18c | 192.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sydney Thunder | 43c | 183.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sydney Thunder | 16c | 140.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Perth Scorchers | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Perth Scorchers | 77c | 116.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…b1e6backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 103.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Perth Scorchers | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Sydney Thunder | 39c | 92.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…4ecfbacked Sydney Thunder | 34c | 88.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Perth Scorchers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Perth Scorchers | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Perth Scorchers | 61c | 72.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Sydney Thunder | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Sydney Thunder | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…519abacked Sydney Thunder | 40c | 54.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…156dbacked Sydney Thunder | 42c | 53.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Sydney Thunder | 42c | 44.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sydney Thunder | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Perth Scorchers | 51c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…ae0bbacked Perth Scorchers | 60c | 38.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Perth Scorchers | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Perth Scorchers | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)this page
- Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Sydney Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.