NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e131f3ce5ccf9c2c2d341fb2091a5025f72bd66220f82f0d88a5315b502944e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Flames, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Flames | 43c | 15,346$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…efbfbacked Blues | 58c | 14,850$8,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…a4b1backed Flames | 42c | 13,952$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…97e5backed Blues | 58c | 11,874$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,987.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…1763backed Flames | 42c | 11,861$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462c…2fa3backed Flames | 42c | 11,500$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…4e5bbacked Blues | 58c | 10,600$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flames | 43c | 8,249$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Blues | 57c | 8,100$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blues | 57c | 6,900$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blues | 57c | 6,100$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.29 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Blues | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Flames | 43c | 5,800$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flames | 15c | 5,281$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.2 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 57c | 3,521$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Flames | 43c | 3,225$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.73 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blues | 57c | 2,998$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.21 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 17c | 2,951$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.83 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Flames | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 57c | 2,000$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Flames | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Blues | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 43c | 1,651$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 57c | 1,637$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.91 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…7df3backed Flames | 42c | 1,570$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Flames | 42c | 1,521$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.75 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Blues | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Blues | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blues | 57c | 1,435$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Blues | 79c | 1,321$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Flames | 8c | 1,200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blues | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.98 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…d52ebacked Blues | 58c | 1,163$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…b882backed Flames | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Blues | 57c | 1,161$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Blues | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…f3d5backed Blues | 58c | 1,045$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Blues | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Flames | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Flames | 44c | 960.11$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 42c | 904.95$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.38 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues | 56c | 893.77$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.26 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 18c | 858.18$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 42c | 823.93$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe769…6d8bbacked Flames | 42c | 699.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 42c | 677.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Blues | 72c | 607.16$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.06 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Flames | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d3…b5efbacked Blues | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Flames | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flames | 40c | 559.34$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 16c | 551.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blues | 57c | 545.91$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Blues | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…6b03backed Blues | 58c | 524.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…a46fbacked Flames | 43c | 507$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blues | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flames | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues | 77c | 458.26$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Flames | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flames | 11c | 454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flames | 44c | 451.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 11c | 444.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…450fbacked Blues | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Blues | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 56c | 381.23$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flames | 7c | 375$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 57c | 330.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.03 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Blues | 57c | 310.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Blues | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Blues | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blues | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Flames | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Blues | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Blues | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d1…5b68backed Blues | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blues | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Flames | 43c | 296.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Flames | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…a1eebacked Flames | 43c | 283.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Flames | 8c | 252.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Flames | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blues | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Flames | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 7c | 226.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Blues | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Flames | 20c | 222.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Flames | 41c | 218.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blues | 58c | 208.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blues | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Blues | 57c | 206.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…c573backed Blues | 58c | 204.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…4490backed Flames | 43c | 204.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Flames | 25c | 203.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Flames | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Blues | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Blues | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Flames | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Bluesthis page
- Flames vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.