CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70fe2514d2c0528770bb0a717168d30a5cd5f3952d10127dac24ed54b0033f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FlyQuest | 26c | 29,826$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.96 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Liquid | 65c | 6,710$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.99 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FlyQuest | 9c | 2,510$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Liquid | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 71c | 2,399$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.71 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Liquid | 68c | 2,205$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Liquid | 70c | 2,078$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 65c | 1,552$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.92 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Liquid | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.69 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 74c | 1,220$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.26 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 70c | 1,082$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.08 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FlyQuest | 37c | 1,020$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 60c | 978.6$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…dc27backed FlyQuest | 46c | 792.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid | 71c | 706.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 28c | 623.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 614.27$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.66 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FlyQuest | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid | 73c | 538$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed FlyQuest | 19c | 513.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Liquid | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed FlyQuest | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Liquid | 63c | 439.47$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid | 71c | 427$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Liquid | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Liquid | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Liquid | 70c | 381.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…1618backed FlyQuest | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Liquid | 71c | 308$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Liquid | 69c | 300.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Liquid | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Liquid | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FlyQuest | 29c | 250.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed FlyQuest | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Liquid | 71c | 244.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid | 65c | 228.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FlyQuest | 13c | 175.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Liquid | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FlyQuest | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed FlyQuest | 31c | 129.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked FlyQuest | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liquid | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed FlyQuest | 39c | 116.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Liquid | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Liquid | 47c | 106.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Liquid | 71c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Liquid | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed FlyQuest | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Liquid | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…3ef6backed Liquid | 70c | 56.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…3c7ebacked Liquid | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…bb98backed Liquid | 56c | 49.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Liquid | 65c | 46.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Liquid | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed Liquid | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Liquid | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed FlyQuest | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Liquid | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…6b43backed FlyQuest | 48c | 31.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Liquid | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…5e7ebacked Liquid | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Liquid | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed Liquid | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3e5cbacked Liquid | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liquid | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…2844backed Liquid | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.