CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e802bd90fb894aba4501474498ed2ff8249373880625fb8bed5416a8b05ad56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked fnatic | 72c | 30,710$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.07 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MIBR | 28c | 11,739$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.8 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MIBR | 28c | 10,597$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.22 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed fnatic | 74c | 10,182$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.91 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…1a39backed fnatic | 73c | 8,327$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed fnatic | 72c | 6,788$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.8 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR | 27c | 6,472$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.71 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR | 26c | 4,954$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.96 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed MIBR | 27c | 4,753$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed MIBR | 30c | 4,483$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed fnatic | 80c | 3,003$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MIBR | 28c | 2,542$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.83 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MIBR | 26c | 2,293$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.07 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MIBR | 21c | 2,244$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MIBR | 28c | 2,165$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.2 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MIBR | 29c | 2,038$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.26 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed fnatic | 72c | 2,021$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MIBR | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked fnatic | 71c | 1,780$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MIBR | 20c | 1,573$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.78 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…31a5backed MIBR | 27c | 1,415$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed MIBR | 27c | 1,252$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MIBR | 28c | 1,200$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.21 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 3c | 1,072$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MIBR | 28c | 1,030$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked MIBR | 28c | 1,002$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.52 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked fnatic | 71c | 895.99$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed MIBR | 29c | 848.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed fnatic | 73c | 686.55$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MIBR | 28c | 633$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed MIBR | 29c | 551.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 15c | 504.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked MIBR | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MIBR | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed MIBR | 15c | 399.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed MIBR | 28c | 333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed fnatic | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MIBR | 19c | 205.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…f204backed fnatic | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…ebecbacked MIBR | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked MIBR | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MIBR | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed MIBR | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked MIBR | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed fnatic | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2194backed MIBR | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MIBR | 28c | 37.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0683…8689backed fnatic | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed fnatic | 71c | 32.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed fnatic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed fnatic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed fnatic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…d990backed fnatic | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.