CS2 · resolved market
Will the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e4c98dabc0ec11e1e4fe5aac4385d5f4e3c2db0a258782e86c64f28b3efe9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…613dbacked No | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 38c | 607.52$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked No | 55c | 352.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed No | 60c | 309.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 41c | 296.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 222.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed No | 44c | 170.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 71c | 159.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 103$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…7cc1backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…a5f0backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 71.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…5e87backed Yes | 28c | 68.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 40c | 61.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 71c | 52.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813b…7624backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4ab0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…fc87backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…7278backed No | 77c | 44.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…2df3backed Yes | 34c | 40.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…44c3backed Yes | 33c | 33.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 72c | 26.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 66c | 15.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.