Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd014bd8e381534914db038919c2a93a2aa80b87bda587d4960d8ceebe94d9bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 72c | 6,875$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 6,256$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 5,656$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 4,786$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Over | 72c | 3,949$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 32c | 3,484$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 72c | 3,420$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 27c | 2,627$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 71c | 2,202$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.62 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 28c | 1,785$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 1,267$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 58c | 907.03$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 28c | 878.32$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…dd09backed Over | 73c | 869.25$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 28c | 820.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 28c | 800$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 28c | 726.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 29c | 558$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 71c | 399.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 28c | 375.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 4c | 374.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 363.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 354.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 63c | 329.95$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed Under | 20c | 263.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 253.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 185.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 71c | 179.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…59f5backed Over | 60c | 159.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 76c | 133.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 71c | 117.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 68c | 116.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 75c | 101.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Over | 66c | 87.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 30c | 77.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Over | 72c | 69.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 61c | 65.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 61.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 77c | 56.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 72c | 55.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 53.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked Over | 72c | 51.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 64c | 51.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 50.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 28c | 50.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 29c | 45.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 71c | 43.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 72c | 41.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Over | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 29c | 34.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…d93dbacked Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 25.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 63c | 23.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Over | 73c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 71c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…f8c7backed Over | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.