Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aebcdadf4758f4a0df6423b7938c4c54bca665af34a543cb5f03551f7a878d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 28c | 3,082$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,763$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 35c | 1,684$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.44 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 33c | 1,599$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,316$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 65c | 1,312$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.63 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,172$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.88 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 33c | 1,003$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 68c | 894.94$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 32c | 585.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 33c | 482.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed No | 10c | 281.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 62c | 226.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 70c | 206.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 63c | 172.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 65c | 169.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 70c | 159.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 146.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 65c | 128.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 65c | 117.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 61c | 112.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 107.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…4025backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 68c | 71.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…c5bdbacked No | 36c | 60.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 63c | 50.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 36c | 41.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 67c | 40.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…8319backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 73c | 23.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.