Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07487086e762a269c82d313205a8662da908b51196c6337148957c3faabe199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 2,667$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.05 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 47c | 2,130$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 1,721$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.54 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,515$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,270$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.8 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 54c | 1,210$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 1,179$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.57 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 1,055$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 54c | 993.82$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 854.65$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 827.64$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.67 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 802.52$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 606$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 14c | 555$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 55c | 546.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 492.55$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.86 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 28c | 457$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.09 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 60c | 456$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 430.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 48c | 418.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 399.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 392.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 319.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 55c | 318.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 41c | 306.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 298.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 57c | 260.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 62c | 253.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 61c | 246.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 54c | 236.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 233.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 232.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 20c | 210.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 48c | 206.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 55c | 182.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 38c | 154.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 50c | 149.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 42c | 116.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 15c | 107.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 105.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…182fbacked Under | 68c | 104.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 104.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 69c | 86.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 28c | 86.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…7eaabacked Under | 65c | 75.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 71.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 68.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 30c | 61.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 61c | 60.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 46c | 44.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 39c | 44.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 60c | 41.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 46c | 35.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 38c | 35.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 32c | 33.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Under | 43c | 27.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 56c | 24.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 63c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.