Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc3839824ae4bfcc4bb372f8acefd5575012d1bfb8db513e4c1ec837a575bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 7,604$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 54c | 6,940$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked No | 46c | 1,712$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 49c | 506.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.56 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 8c | 241.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 5c | 230$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 49c | 207.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 142.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 50c | 107.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 25c | 104.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 90.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Yes | 54c | 55.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 37.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 71c | 27.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.