Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd86ab62bddc866f8ac3da2b30ecde83e6f7d23005647bfd19eb34adc964c950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 6,205$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 71c | 4,125$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.99 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 2,430$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Over | 41c | 2,104$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 42c | 1,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 71c | 999.27$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.48 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 819.33$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 548.28$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.76 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 72c | 516$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 471.63$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 29c | 445.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 411.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 29c | 217$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 200.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Under | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 43c | 80.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 72.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 71.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 29c | 67.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…9b7cbacked Under | 75c | 66.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…0490backed Under | 29c | 62.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 66c | 62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 51.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 29c | 45.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e43…bfc4backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 72c | 16.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.