Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26975402bce757c20551a3cde1da4695293d31be2f9c2c5617a234238a4b929f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 45c | 33,442$15,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,048.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 10,948$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.19 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,007$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.48 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 53c | 1,587$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 55c | 1,308$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 55c | 736$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 55c | 617.83$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 612.76$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Over | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 433.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.26 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 55c | 399.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 385$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 382.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 293.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 276.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 217.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 55c | 201.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 158.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 104.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 87.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Under | 63c | 79.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 45c | 76.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Over | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 45c | 66.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 46c | 56.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 56c | 53.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 56c | 49.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 46.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 55c | 41.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…9b98backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…7be7backed Under | 55c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 34.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 60c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.