Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849b03eaf1fb8df0805f44f17a68e1c5dae5f8d52892ebf8dfad17b96ea27bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of FC Nantes, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Stade Brestois 29 | 72c | 277.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed FC Nantes | 34c | 192.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed FC Nantes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed FC Nantes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed FC Nantes | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FC Nantes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -68%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 50c | 28.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)this page
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.