Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df69ad2df8202a1c20da588e8de01dc6ac138bfd347a1181951ccfa6696c455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 2,523$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 2,350$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.21 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 13c | 570.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988c…90c1backed Over | 31c | 274.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 63c | 260.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 142.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 12c | 134.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 98.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 43c | 70.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 51.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Over | 44c | 50.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.