Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84258fadc9bbd38dae8c0718604bee4f930e3da3ab97d1487a0d66d7fe7286ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 945.3$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 77c | 774.55$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 44c | 462.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 73c | 423$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 44c | 324.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 25c | 240.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 75c | 212.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Yes | 55c | 181.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 56c | 178.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 172.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 41c | 162.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 80c | 151.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 76c | 147.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 71c | 142.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed No | 21c | 139.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 56c | 87.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 15c | 83.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 55c | 83.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…fa2dbacked Yes | 56c | 70.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 55c | 67.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 75c | 34.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.