Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c62e0f78c5fd90fb497b88482381dc38ad0917f9fcd944e7a05572a2e0eb603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AJ Auxerreof AS Monaco FC, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked AJ Auxerre | 64c | 7,701$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 3,190$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre | 71c | 2,435$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 1,943$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.8 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 999.97$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 920.28$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Monaco FC | 30c | 845.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked AS Monaco FC | 37c | 824.08$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 758.37$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Monaco FC | 2c | 703.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed AJ Auxerre | 62c | 551.56$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 369.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed AS Monaco FC | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked AS Monaco FC | 38c | 299.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked AJ Auxerre | 67c | 293.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 288.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 240.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked AJ Auxerre | 65c | 188.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 179$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 170.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed AJ Auxerre | 62c | 156.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed AJ Auxerre | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed AS Monaco FC | 19c | 124.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked AS Monaco FC | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked AS Monaco FC | 9c | 120.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked AS Monaco FC | 32c | 119.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed AJ Auxerre | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed AS Monaco FC | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked AJ Auxerre | 66c | 89.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed AJ Auxerre | 62c | 81.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 76.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 63.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AS Monaco FC | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked AS Monaco FC | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked AJ Auxerre | 61c | 57.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 53.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…d80bbacked AS Monaco FC | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 39.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed AJ Auxerre | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed AJ Auxerre | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.