Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33e0fd855a9c7acfbd3bf6e013ca9902aa6971ab95e94e9af9fd821210aa28a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 38c | 3,323$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,140$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.82 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 2,388$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.52 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,881$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 1,718$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 1,517$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.84 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 63c | 1,383$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.44 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 899.98$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 37c | 704.25$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 45c | 403.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 65c | 317.06$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 37c | 307.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 37c | 147.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 64c | 143.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 139.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 36c | 131.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 58c | 127.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 114$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 63c | 108$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 64c | 105.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 64c | 103.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 92.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 63c | 88.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 63c | 85.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 64c | 83.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 32c | 60.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 63c | 54.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 64c | 53.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Under | 64c | 51.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 37c | 48.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 56c | 36.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 64c | 35.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…200abacked Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 40c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 36c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 36c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Under | 44c | 27.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 59c | 20.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.