Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5e2b4f79145e6ec947c92c2dc1e7d6da25c42fa3ec5d5bfd52914de3607370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,011$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 79c | 1,777$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed No | 48c | 1,766$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,171$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,014$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 925.32$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.75 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 844.97$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.38 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 52c | 644.15$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 52c | 639.82$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 48c | 562$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 13c | 423$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 419.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 22c | 351.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed No | 49c | 307.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 254$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 251.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 47c | 248.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 25c | 219.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 23c | 210.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 48c | 201.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 167.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 24c | 121.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 79c | 107.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 38c | 100.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 48c | 94.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 23c | 87.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Yes | 24c | 80.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 67c | 78.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 52c | 63.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 52c | 52.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 49c | 44.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…e5fcbacked No | 48c | 34.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 73c | 22.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Yes | 52c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…3deabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54bd…b8bbbacked No | 76c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)Torino FC won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.