Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452d3c1987099d4af1133f9d28532fdfa27a0f92b86c0d439d6e7d121c82197c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 57c | 13,000$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 12,922$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.39 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 69c | 12,892$8,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.6 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 43c | 7,811$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 6,177$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.03 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 4,202$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.72 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 3,319$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.99 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 42c | 3,126$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 42c | 2,980$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.81 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,370$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 43c | 2,157$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.52 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 2,141$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.09 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 18c | 1,453$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.47 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 1,229$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.05 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 58c | 1,144$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 1,124$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 1,011$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 960.35$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.41 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 896.98$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.78 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 871.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 819.84$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 43c | 772.64$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.24 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 38c | 764.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 42c | 747.19$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 45c | 683.75$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.85 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 58c | 682.36$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 43c | 628.58$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Under | 58c | 625.65$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 58c | 588.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 45c | 569.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 57c | 526.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 486.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 5c | 423$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Under | 57c | 405.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 375.04$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 56c | 369.2$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed Over | 43c | 364.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 4c | 353.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 57c | 338.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…ded3backed Over | 12c | 324.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 17c | 319.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 318.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 17c | 310$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 299.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 58c | 267.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 12c | 256.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Over | 12c | 250.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 248.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 238$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 237$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 43c | 226.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Over | 28c | 205.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 43c | 204.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 203.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 203.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 196.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 20c | 193.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 192.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 180.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 12c | 173.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…e341backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…1ba2backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…7b9fbacked Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…2c75backed Under | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcb…6450backed Over | 12c | 157.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 43c | 148.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 10c | 111.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 67c | 109.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 43c | 106.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 27c | 103.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 46c | 103.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 20c | 99.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…cac1backed Over | 43c | 98.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 59c | 97.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 56c | 79.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 58c | 79.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)Torino FC won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.