TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ff…9953backed Under66c9,834$6,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,392.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c3,593$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.372,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c2,955$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.518923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c1,553$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.0632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over13c1,500$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c1,471$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.631,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over70c1,403$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under29c1,302$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.1524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c1,213$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.9741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over46c1,054$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c884.58$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8613445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c852.8$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c727.74$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.678354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c552.44$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over74c545.41$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c423$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8323345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c418.8$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c399.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over53c397.78$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.214852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under30c381.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3914258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7079…718dbacked Under48c347.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over24c339.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.342050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over34c319.28$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.442536%9 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over70c299.23$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.461070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over28c287.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.373243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over71c276.83$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over21c263.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.683847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over15c240.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0613826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Under47c213.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over25c213.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.624231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under74c202.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.76988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c195.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over21c185.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.021225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c182.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over38c170.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6321748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c169.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over57c159.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over27c152.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7617744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c152.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.219353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.28965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2617354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over34c135.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1336.1%2 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c130.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c128.79$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over34c127.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over36c120.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.035168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over32c119.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over12c114.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over42c114.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3517058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over34c113.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Over33c98.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3690%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over66c97.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Under48c92.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over34c90.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.377846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over34c89.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4960%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over34c85.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.986043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over47c84.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.984365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over43c72.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.424445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over40c69.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over71c69.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1313653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over30c66.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over21c65.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7410451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over45c61.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.594158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over21c60.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0213350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over34c59.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.967548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over70c47.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.393161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under33c47.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6655…12e9backed Under32c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+138.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over43c39.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.051010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-72.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ee…31aebacked Over46c37.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c36.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5117958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over56c35.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.071338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over71c34.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5710358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6115…ab1fbacked Over65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Under36c30.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f1…1395backed Over67c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over35c28.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.092040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.647665.8%50 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cd…778bbacked Over42c25.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under44c25.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.084524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over65c22.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9411268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over70c22.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over70c19.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Over70c19.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.759353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.