Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x776cabae16e6504c6fea8f019c705ec16bf59d59c4635b26856a70aa5f0247d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheffield Wednesday FCof Middlesbrough FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Middlesbrough FC | 64c | 24,211$15,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,555.43 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 36c | 17,033$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,918.59 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 2,883$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.95 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 1,442$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.98 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 999.47$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.66 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 705.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.83 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 641.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 37c | 599.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 480.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 346.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 343.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 338.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 299.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 240.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Middlesbrough FC | 70c | 211.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 193.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 189$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 189$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Middlesbrough FC | 68c | 188.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 151.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 144.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Middlesbrough FC | 69c | 112.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 103.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 94.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 92.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…530cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 61.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middlesbrough FC | 71c | 56.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 56.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 55.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 53.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Middlesbrough FC | 63c | 44.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Middlesbrough FC | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Middlesbrough FC | 67c | 41.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 41.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 38.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 64c | 36.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 31.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 35c | 29.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Middlesbrough FC | 64c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…a84abacked Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 28.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…b185backed Middlesbrough FC | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 21.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Middlesbrough FC | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Middlesbrough FC | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.