Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a127d698b6cc9a61f6125469ff6c7730f9343fa99596e176f0da659812375d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheffield Wednesday FCof Middlesbrough FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Middlesbrough FC | 41c | 14,086$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.53 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 3,902$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.66 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 1,707$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.85 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 1,463$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.87 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Middlesbrough FC | 47c | 921.6$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 438.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 433.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 393.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 390.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 390.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 297.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 296.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 296.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 243.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 243.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 197.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 197.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Middlesbrough FC | 48c | 193.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 180.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 138.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Middlesbrough FC | 47c | 122.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 53c | 95.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 88.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 61c | 78.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 73.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Middlesbrough FC | 47c | 69.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 66.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 58.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db0…4483backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 58.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Middlesbrough FC | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 54.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…28ffbacked Middlesbrough FC | 46c | 53.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 49.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 47.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 46.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 55c | 42.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 38.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 58c | 38.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 54c | 36.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 52c | 32.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 54c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 18.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.