Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40c3c5751ab1b4b8210ca91c0723cc23f79db81fd94b6db7cb64a0b572b8915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 48c | 4,170$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 2,463$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.83 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 1,288$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 579.35$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 48c | 569.83$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.31 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 80c | 325$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 257.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 218.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 170.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 54c | 140.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 64c | 105$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 100.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 47c | 99.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 93.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 47c | 90.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Under | 60c | 83.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 81.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 72.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 67.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Under | 53c | 61.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.