Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348c9a29f0d71c946189ba1dd41d9d60d38939520d6a829510f0c98309050258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 20,127$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,064.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 2,917$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.39 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 2,843$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 2c | 2,806$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 49c | 2,743$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.79 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 1c | 2,375$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 1,477$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…a1d5backed Over | 78c | 1,407$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 1,083$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.05 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 1,077$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 1,068$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.88 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 7c | 904.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.56 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 11c | 637.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Over | 77c | 569.78$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 569.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 558.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 7c | 207.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 10c | 201$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 68c | 194.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 55c | 184.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 55c | 183$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 14c | 182.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 64c | 154.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 46c | 99.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 33c | 92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…1d82backed Under | 39c | 88.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 29c | 84.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 65c | 58.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 56c | 52.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 47.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…dcfabacked Under | 42c | 35.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Over | 78c | 34.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 61c | 30.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 79c | 27.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…48c1backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 51c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 59c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 320 | 55.9%179 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5this page
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.