Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c12f82790aafcbe8773cdc6f86dac825ea874f7d249d9f81e69d234638ad3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denmarkof DR Congo, Denmark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DR Congo | 1c | 3,416$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed DR Congo | 4c | 1,773$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked DR Congo | 10c | 1,264$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked DR Congo | 4c | 1,210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…a10abacked DR Congo | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…de39backed DR Congo | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4e…c55dbacked DR Congo | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…9454backed DR Congo | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…bd90backed DR Congo | 4c | 998.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…ba18backed DR Congo | 4c | 998.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…73d2backed DR Congo | 4c | 996.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6812…3ba2backed DR Congo | 4c | 996.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…a88abacked DR Congo | 4c | 990$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…7a2cbacked DR Congo | 4c | 990$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…8e15backed DR Congo | 4c | 990$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…77a9backed DR Congo | 4c | 990$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…a955backed DR Congo | 4c | 980$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…61e3backed DR Congo | 4c | 980$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…77afbacked DR Congo | 4c | 942$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…14d5backed DR Congo | 4c | 940$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed DR Congo | 3c | 606$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…30d1backed DR Congo | 6c | 523.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked DR Congo | 4c | 467.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…5309backed DR Congo | 4c | 380$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…75efbacked DR Congo | 6c | 294$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Denmark | 39c | 59.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Denmark | 66c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)this page
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.