Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57101fe33a0dbb533313f5b5e20271b357c9a07fdb8aee9ec0d524e6db5115ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 19c | 12,862$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.94 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 4,465$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 25c | 2,065$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 1,413$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,063$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 598.21$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 24c | 576.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 528$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 5c | 499.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 366.58$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 5c | 328$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 308$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 24c | 299.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 7c | 242$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 240.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 194.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 190.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 24c | 168.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed Under | 76c | 164$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 158.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 156.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 144.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 123.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Over | 24c | 106.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 76c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 24c | 104.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…0c21backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 22c | 78.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 77.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 76c | 60.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…88f8backed Over | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Under | 77c | 51.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 25c | 51.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 76c | 40.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…c607backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 76c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 77c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 76c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Under | 77c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Under | 76c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5this page
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.