Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efb192eacccb87219e46c6c20ff6c4355083038545fb6f2b6646e9c0a2ab973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DR Congoof Denmark, DR Congo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Denmark | 37c | 4,583$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.33 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed DR Congo | 73c | 3,367$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DR Congo | 63c | 3,049$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Denmark | 30c | 2,752$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked DR Congo | 67c | 1,209$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.4 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Denmark | 22c | 1,044$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Denmark | 31c | 800.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed DR Congo | 69c | 764.55$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed DR Congo | 69c | 701$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked DR Congo | 65c | 654.3$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked DR Congo | 67c | 596.74$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Denmark | 35c | 549.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed DR Congo | 64c | 428.4$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed DR Congo | 64c | 415.66$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Denmark | 31c | 412.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed DR Congo | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Denmark | 34c | 392.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Denmark | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed DR Congo | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Denmark | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Denmark | 34c | 290.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Denmark | 8c | 289.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed DR Congo | 65c | 279.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Denmark | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked DR Congo | 67c | 251$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed DR Congo | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Denmark | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Denmark | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Denmark | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d64…6be2backed DR Congo | 67c | 193$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +425.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Denmark | 31c | 185.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked DR Congo | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Denmark | 34c | 151.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Denmark | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Denmark | 34c | 127.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed DR Congo | 70c | 116.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Denmark | 35c | 108.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Denmark | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Denmark | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Denmark | 35c | 90.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Denmark | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed DR Congo | 67c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Denmark | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed DR Congo | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Denmark | 34c | 61.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked DR Congo | 75c | 60.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Denmark | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked DR Congo | 68c | 51.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Denmark | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DR Congo | 64c | 49.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…52d9backed DR Congo | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…75efbacked DR Congo | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked DR Congo | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed DR Congo | 68c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed DR Congo | 66c | 40.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed DR Congo | 65c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Denmark | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed DR Congo | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed DR Congo | 68c | 31.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked DR Congo | 70c | 30.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…fd49backed DR Congo | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Denmark | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed DR Congo | 71c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DR Congo | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked DR Congo | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked DR Congo | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed DR Congo | 67c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed DR Congo | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)this page
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.