Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd928fb9253b71f6562a6228752043de0aab3d46454dcd1cc5897086dff75dad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,766$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.02 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…a1c4backed Yes | 73c | 1,215$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 75c | 1,100$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.53 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 491.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…031dbacked No | 79c | 480.85$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 11c | 372.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…a93bbacked Yes | 31c | 366.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 234 | 36.3%85 W · 149 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 44c | 324.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 63c | 296.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 8c | 292.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 20c | 287.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.13 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 16c | 276.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 16c | 263.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 257.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 25c | 254.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 27c | 254.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 54c | 253.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 11c | 239.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 38c | 225.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed No | 75c | 223.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 7c | 186.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 52c | 173.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 79c | 164.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 71c | 150.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 14c | 148.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 41c | 141.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 31c | 136.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 75c | 129.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 31c | 129.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 103.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…76e9backed No | 73c | 99.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 96.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 74c | 91.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 55c | 90.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 60c | 84.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…8969backed Yes | 18c | 81.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 23c | 71.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 37c | 70.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 67.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…1503backed Yes | 17c | 63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +198.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 18c | 57.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 46c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 52.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 26c | 52.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 62c | 52.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 31c | 48.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 69c | 47.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 40c | 46.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 27c | 45.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 36c | 45.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…fdc5backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 37c | 44.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 44.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 42c | 42.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 31c | 42.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 27c | 39.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 79c | 37.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 37.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 80c | 37.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 34c | 34.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…0c7abacked No | 62c | 32.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…b95cbacked No | 35c | 30.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 35c | 28.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 78c | 28.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 197 | 64.5%127 W · 70 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 78c | 25.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 74c | 24.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…43f9backed No | 74c | 23.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 22.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 72c | 22.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 51c | 21.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…3257backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 64c | 18.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…ba96backed Yes | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.