Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a080f9d4d679f0d16fc2cb8e8d3f4ca051c1dfd1563095a8930265146b0d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 21c | 2,939$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.53 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 66c | 2,672$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.61 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,506$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.92 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 5c | 1,241$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 38c | 1,170$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.46 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 68c | 1,043$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…7551backed No | 3c | 851.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 75c | 648.81$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 69c | 636.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 5c | 636.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 10c | 562.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 49c | 515.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 40c | 404.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 42c | 391.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 49c | 370.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.68 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 36c | 339.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 48c | 313.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…788abacked Yes | 79c | 287.2$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 65c | 267.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 10c | 259.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 65c | 247.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 23c | 234.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 214.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 65c | 214.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 49c | 190.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 52c | 185.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 51c | 179.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 166.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 60c | 160.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 31c | 157.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 39c | 138.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 43c | 122.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 66c | 118.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 40c | 108.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f7…d7cdbacked Yes | 69c | 100.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…4deabacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 289 | 25.3%73 W · 216 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 49c | 98.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 66c | 96.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 46c | 95.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 50c | 94.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 44c | 94.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 56c | 91.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 72c | 88.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1e07backed Yes | 33c | 86.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 82.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 56c | 81.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Yes | 65c | 80.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…93cbbacked No | 36c | 78.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 45c | 77.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 49c | 75.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 72c | 74.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 54c | 69.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 69.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 41c | 69.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 24c | 69.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…ca37backed Yes | 75c | 67.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…8ce5backed No | 59c | 65.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 41c | 65.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 62.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…7be2backed Yes | 29c | 60.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…5f66backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 58c | 58.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed No | 33c | 57.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…6d45backed No | 44c | 54.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…8b8cbacked Yes | 43c | 54.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…d247backed No | 55c | 54.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 44c | 51.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 37c | 50.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 52c | 50.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 55c | 50.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…a294backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 49.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…577dbacked Yes | 75c | 48.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed Yes | 57c | 47.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 27c | 46.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 60c | 45.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 64c | 45.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…cf3dbacked Yes | 77c | 44.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 65c | 44.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Yes | 47c | 43.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 47c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 55c | 42.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…f9dabacked Yes | 68c | 41.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…b59abacked Yes | 64c | 40.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Yes | 69c | 40.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 52c | 39.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 58c | 39.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 48c | 39.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…f122backed Yes | 59c | 38.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…9caabacked No | 53c | 38.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 79c | 37.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.