Asian League · resolved market
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6181f6d771a1626db7fd88c83997b106a75b1e9882629265d89b33167233b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 5,608$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,832$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.09 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 4,400$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.93 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under | 48c | 2,874$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Under | 64c | 2,794$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 57c | 2,203$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.77 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 1,268$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 43c | 1,130$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 45c | 1,090$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 999.17$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.56 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Over | 23c | 849.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 59c | 660.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 53c | 652.83$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 650.34$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.79 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 49c | 560$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 339.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Over | 59c | 315$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 38c | 280$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…9046backed Over | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 54c | 206.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 56c | 197.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 188.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 55c | 186.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 55c | 183.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 177.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 62c | 164.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 122.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…2e78backed Over | 50c | 99.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Under | 66c | 95.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 55c | 41.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 36.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 42c | 35.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…ca25backed Over | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 53c | 24.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 59c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 71c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 72c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 67c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 73c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 73c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5this page
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.