Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b43f39c1b2f96cf569456860c15c14ae004787dd6ee8aaa210572b3794753f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 4,000$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 2,743$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.13 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 2,166$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.44 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 14c | 1,714$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.54 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 1,641$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.45 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 75c | 1,353$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 67c | 859.52$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 77c | 848.81$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 799.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 73c | 784.35$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 42c | 779.81$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.91 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 14c | 693.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 673.16$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 638.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 78c | 637.81$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 33c | 608.69$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.62 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 68c | 523.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 515.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 515.1$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 399.21$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 53c | 387.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 13c | 312.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 12c | 300.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 44c | 237.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Under | 44c | 183.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 25c | 180.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 35c | 174.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Under | 17c | 131$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 130.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…7851backed Over | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 13c | 105.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 21c | 87.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 67c | 75.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 66c | 60.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 60.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 59c | 56.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 52.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 76c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 54c | 33.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 47c | 27.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…b885backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 72c | 24.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 74c | 21.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.