TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Hilal Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,297 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52d8…99aebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club78c2,363$1,837 inWon+$525.677263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club22c1,908$425 inLost-$424.772,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Nassr Saudi Club22c551.49$120 inLost-$119.595,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club20c500$100 inLost-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Al Hilal Saudi Club80c315.1$251 inWon+$64.281,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Al Hilal Saudi Club78c231.88$181 inWon+$51.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club80c100$80 inWon+$204759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Al Nassr Saudi Club42c69.76$29 inLost-$293828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed Al Nassr Saudi Club24c59.99$14 inLost-$14.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Al Hilal Saudi Club60c46.43$28 inWon+$18.727037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Al Hilal Saudi Club76c40$31 inWon+$9.47875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Nassr Saudi Club29c40$12 inLost-$11.682842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Al Hilal Saudi Club77c40$31 inWon+$9.26162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Al Hilal Saudi Club59c30$18 inWon+$12.332457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club79c20.96$17 inWon+$4.311,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club78c20$16 inWon+$4.437559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Al Hilal Saudi Club78c16.51$13 inWon+$3.6432654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club79c16.1$13 inWon+$3.436142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club78c15$12 inWon+$3.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.