Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44aabf2061f79a0fd42e8c78e8235f5d2451ff8056f75be7ff67d5d8a64dbbdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 6,482$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.23 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 43c | 5,942$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 2,770$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.39 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 2,295$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.89 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 2,132$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.68 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 55c | 1,249$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.43 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 990.33$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 43c | 890.6$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.65 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Over | 46c | 881.32$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 708.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…c7e0backed Under | 55c | 653.16$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 37c | 446.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 401$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 41c | 400.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 337.83$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 74c | 302.94$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 78c | 295.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 278.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 261.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 45c | 254.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 238$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 233.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 220.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 54c | 217.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 198.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 171$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 78c | 158.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 73c | 129.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 104.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 89.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 88.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 57c | 86.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 58c | 86.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 65c | 82.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 81.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 64c | 55.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 38c | 52.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 64c | 47.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 58c | 40.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…aba0backed Over | 44c | 38.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 42c | 38.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 67c | 34.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…3730backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 71c | 33.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ce43backed Under | 70c | 32.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Over | 33c | 32.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…0774backed Over | 44c | 32.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 31.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Over | 46c | 27.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db7…3987backed Under | 78c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Under | 69c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.