TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over66c4,685$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.122,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c3,429$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.2418257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c3,295$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.0982842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over58c3,200$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.991250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under11c2,042$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.762839.3%11 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+356.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c1,910$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.61,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c1,870$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.031,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over50c1,845$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over77c1,771$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.4139655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under34c1,717$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.244032.5%13 W · 27 L-7.4wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over57c1,710$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.653339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under41c1,389$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.526060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c1,199$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.651,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over48c1,086$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8192835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Over67c1,065$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c976.35$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6713048.5%63 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c779.09$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.510235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c771.13$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.227037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c708.18$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.295,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c653.1$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.081,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over63c649.98$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.494151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c649.57$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.891,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over38c599.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Under34c529.41$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c395.3$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8921449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under34c391.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5540156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under62c383.35$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0236142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under36c320.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.266457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c310.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.961,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under32c255.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4716856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over67c248.42$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4413855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under33c233.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1440550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked Under46c214.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Under49c213.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over48c209.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4672144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over38c205.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.731,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over50c200.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9229745.1%134 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…7980backed Over67c193.28$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.570%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under43c189.14$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3417340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under49c181.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.579041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over57c175.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011458.8%67 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under35c174.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.441,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under74c172.44$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3747155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under59c169.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3233452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Under48c143.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over66c134.85$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8919751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over78c123.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over68c117.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809055.6%50 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over25c116.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.131,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over26c116.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-62.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over54c116.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under35c105.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over63c94.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9423052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c83.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.811,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.083151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5c…c5edbacked Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48e…95b3backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under23c65.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.484077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over62c65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under36c60.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7518644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over61c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.332457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over60c58.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.396454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c53.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711661.2%71 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under51c52.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ae…c9eebacked Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.852962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over68c49.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4715850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over49c42.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a09…4a73backed Over67c41.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9550%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…b885backed Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over52c39.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4377056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Under44c38.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.641560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over55c34.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.323961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.214949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0412346.3%57 W · 66 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over39c26.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54650%23 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under49c26.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked Over66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf047…db3abacked Over54c20.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe77…b4c4backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4c…87b0backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…d88dbacked Over66c18.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c18.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2718646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over65c16.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over64c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2916252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb8…733ebacked Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.