Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e20f1481380de0c5872ca220f99043eb39fc82b866f0f091e2e2cdfe50d0d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,334$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 59c | 1,175$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.99 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 53c | 764.5$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.71 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 740$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.4 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 54c | 702.91$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 48c | 625.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.83 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 479.02$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 446.26$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.14 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 60c | 378.54$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 49c | 356.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under | 58c | 244.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 51c | 221.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 214.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 61c | 196.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 45c | 111.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 42c | 106$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 87.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 49c | 81.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 56c | 73.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 57c | 66.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 48c | 62.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 54.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 31c | 54.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 49c | 46.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 46c | 43.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 48c | 41.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 48c | 39.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 37.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 34.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 60c | 33.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 55c | 31.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 55c | 30.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Under | 78c | 23.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 22.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 56c | 18.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5this page
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.