Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1dac6b7a40cf20ccc220be9a7c438b5d3a7aa227766c09659c42cd13464717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 774.28$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 646.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 67c | 444$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 34c | 420.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 409.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 381.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 213.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 170.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 67c | 153.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 68c | 120.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 33c | 51.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 33c | 51.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 33c | 48.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 32c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 38c | 35.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 33c | 31.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 66c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Over won
- AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.