Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0567f7d3f58e20fd838e060405dc7c72205e56f9ebed5370b67defe232a7c86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1032…c372backed Over | 30c | 8,476$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.71 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 5,153$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.28 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Over | 66c | 4,257$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.59 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 3,744$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.73 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 3,381$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.22 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 2,564$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 2,200$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 29c | 1,700$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.88 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 35c | 1,432$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.33 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 33c | 1,348$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.83 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 55c | 1,294$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 54c | 772$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 32c | 609.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 570.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 30c | 411.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 390.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 380.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.45 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 363$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 332.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Under | 70c | 321.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 71c | 320.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 47c | 219.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 97.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 33c | 79.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…3d69backed Over | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 34c | 70.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 71c | 56.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 71c | 48.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 46.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 44.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 30c | 39.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Under | 71c | 22.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Under | 67c | 16.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5this page
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: El Salvador (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)El Salvador won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)El Salvador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.