Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690907086501fe49067fe1180e4b6f1634d72a8630d15af933c95be06719c466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 12c | 7,530$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 2,597$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 44c | 1,209$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.77 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 56c | 858.23$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.62 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 9c | 359.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 42c | 322.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 21c | 299$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 46c | 214.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 70c | 96.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 90.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 19c | 77.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 55.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 45.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 2.5this page
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: El Salvador (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)El Salvador won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)El Salvador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.