Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac170c6e1c15db4ebbc3772832f1db5e588ad5c037ef3d5513519c12fb8249b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- El Salvadorof Qatar, El Salvador
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed El Salvador | 67c | 2,324$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.01 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Qatar | 33c | 1,649$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Qatar | 34c | 1,625$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.37 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Qatar | 13c | 1,142$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qatar | 20c | 1,071$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Qatar | 31c | 956.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked El Salvador | 69c | 845.02$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.07 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…b1e2backed Qatar | 11c | 442.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked El Salvador | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed El Salvador | 66c | 377.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Qatar | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Qatar | 33c | 149.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…849bbacked Qatar | 32c | 120.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qatar | 30c | 94.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed El Salvador | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed El Salvador | 71c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Qatar | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Qatar | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked El Salvador | 68c | 39.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed El Salvador | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked El Salvador | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked El Salvador | 70c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked El Salvador | 66c | 35.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked El Salvador | 69c | 35.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed El Salvador | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed El Salvador | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed El Salvador | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed El Salvador | 72c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed El Salvador | 70c | 23.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)this page
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: El Salvador (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)El Salvador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.