Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb78817d6565cada883347632ac29f11f5b33b45c5ad1c1130eff7fae8c32fda0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 68c | 3,675$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 3,168$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.59 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 66c | 2,051$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.43 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 1,842$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.7 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 38c | 1,084$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 959.96$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 43c | 892.57$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 886.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 875.34$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.42 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 875.34$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.42 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…5adcbacked Over | 48c | 861.44$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 9c | 849$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.05 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 520.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 78c | 396.15$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 60c | 347.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 9c | 276.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.57 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 253$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 9c | 210.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 44c | 186.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 24c | 173.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 150.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Under | 42c | 116.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 65c | 116.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 40c | 104.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 83.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 37c | 56.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…3d69backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 78c | 36.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Under | 36c | 32.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 65c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5this page
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: El Salvador (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)El Salvador won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)El Salvador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.