TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes51c3,192$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.5842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes49c3,165$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.4219952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c2,922$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.175,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c2,340$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.748,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c2,033$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.8216647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No49c1,828$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c1,794$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.321,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes49c1,024$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0419846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c993.69$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.921,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No21c991.95$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1720022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c987.4$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.728940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes30c783.33$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.336048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No5c504.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes34c454.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.978137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes47c392.87$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3618452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c346.79$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.021,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Yes50c346.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.33825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes50c304$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes36c267.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9246530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c255$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c255$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c244.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes63c244.02$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed No4c236.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.281020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes78c235.5$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c228.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.41,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c220.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.073,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No53c189.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes45c184.56$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.568057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes37c180.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c175$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.752,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.44257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c152.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.711,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed No56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No18c132.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes51c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.78153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a6…cf4bbacked No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes49c129.6$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3923057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes49c122.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.621,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No64c112.06$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.047055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cb…1e6bbacked Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes24c104.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes18c97.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.136836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.757746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes15c90$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes34c87.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.255234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No52c86.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5315651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes50c86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.63145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No40c76.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3742946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No65c76.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2734155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No62c74.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3744959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.432236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1796…9eccbacked Yes25c69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+102.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6718743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes51c64.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7411858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No75c64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes50c63.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6214844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No51c61.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2329053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e93…2f9dbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No59c58.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.851,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes77c58.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No65c57.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.143265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes51c55.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No49c55.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0710846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda26…011abacked Yes43c53.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No51c52.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No68c49.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.684971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc807…8a78backed Yes52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf255…3561backed Yes50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked Yes28c45.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.974858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No49c42.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No70c42.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.573542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes28c41.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.725141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc20b…9881backed Yes80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes38c36.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5241145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No53c32.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0825864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc6…734abacked No66c31.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No79c31.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…6db2backed Yes35c29.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154850%24 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No53c26.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1219761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No53c25.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4419953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14dd…671fbacked No57c24.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.