South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc602a223353348eac7826f94b1c3f00355bba493dab09fe46719a4a204c022f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 23c | 3,246$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.64 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,711$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.99 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes | 39c | 900$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 630.44$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 453.92$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 45c | 239.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 48c | 227.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 187$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Yes | 55c | 169.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed No | 77c | 168.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 143.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 138.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 32c | 130.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 45c | 128.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 51c | 110.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 45c | 103.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…452abacked Yes | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 87.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 23c | 83.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…f515backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8a78backed Yes | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 51c | 75.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 72.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 41c | 70.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…11aebacked Yes | 57c | 67.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 46c | 65.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 21c | 63.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 62.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 33c | 49.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 44.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 43.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 37.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 37.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…b680backed Yes | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 36.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 53c | 35.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1796…9eccbacked Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 78c | 34.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed No | 48c | 31.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 44c | 28.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 77c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…a632backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 78c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 78c | 16.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.