Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c84e13760d569da92cda729f74cd636404048a3617fc8488dbc153f7a39f70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 18,298$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,594.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 16,294$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,678.38 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 46c | 15,601$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.46 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 9,666$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.9 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 9,440$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.79 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 8,166$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.8 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 52c | 7,900$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 4,847$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 47c | 4,645$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 4,345$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.35 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 58c | 4,306$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 54c | 2,274$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 58c | 1,698$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 1,493$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 53c | 1,350$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 1,210$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.88 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 53c | 1,018$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 53c | 924.48$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 55c | 895.04$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 46c | 783.56$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.14 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 678.54$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.72 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 46c | 662.07$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.19 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 47c | 654.72$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…fe2dbacked Over | 56c | 620$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 617.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 52c | 561.94$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 528.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.56 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 526.92$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 413.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 46c | 413.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 400.06$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 385.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 53c | 385$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 366.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 317.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 56c | 311.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 296.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 295$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 51c | 272.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 247.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 246$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…73b0backed Over | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 48c | 207.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 55c | 206.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 42c | 203.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 199.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 59c | 199.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 59c | 167$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 58c | 141.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 138.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 51c | 130.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 127.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 52c | 115.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 43c | 112.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 51c | 108.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 54c | 107.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 48c | 103.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 55c | 101.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 100.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 47c | 99.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 54c | 98.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 42c | 85.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 76c | 62.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 40c | 56.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 22c | 56.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 45c | 53.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.