La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c30954172f3b8596e23536f5bdcc56d4e51c6d538bd62c3c4e69a5fa44f980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 43c | 1,377$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,342$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,282$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 625.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 511.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 80c | 380.93$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 65c | 307$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 296.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 61c | 265$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Under | 43c | 233.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 171.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 69cpaid | +51%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 34c | 149.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 64c | 140$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 94.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 25c | 88.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 64.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Under | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…c808backed Under | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 24c | 47.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 42.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 40.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…b0afbacked Under | 52c | 38.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 37c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…3ec0backed Over | 76c | 21.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 78c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.