La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c52b4d4d54b13dd222fa6dee9b109254fc081679e114f15270acb8e08e610e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 10c | 516.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 15c | 299.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 277.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Under | 79c | 258.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 72c | 245.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 28c | 225.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 154.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 13c | 126.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 83.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 28c | 78.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 28c | 46.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bd…28aabacked Under | 72c | 22.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.